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As we can see, Fluminense, which plays this first match of the Carioca Championship semi-final away from home, proved to be much more prepared to qualify for the final. Botafogo, who play at home, not only lost to Fluminense in the first phase of the Campeonato Carioca, but also performed well below their rivals. Fluminense led the Taça Guanabara with a large advantage, and showed strength in the two qualifying stages for the group stage of the Copa Libertadores da América, despite the unexpected defeat in the last match, which ended up eliminating Tricolor das Laranjeiras from the continental competition. It is worth remembering that Botafogo had one of the worst defenses in the first phase of the Campeonato Carioca, while Fluminense had the best performance in the offensive sector, having conceded only 2 goals in 11 matches. For all these factors, betting on the victory of the visiting team or a draw (double chance: Fluminense to win or draw) is a great choice.
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Preview
Botafogo and Fluminense face at Estádio Nilton Santos, in a match for this stage of the Carioca 1 (Championship ‑ Semi‑finals). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 10‑02‑2022, in a match for the Carioca 1, Fluminense won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Kanu (22' ), for Botafogo, and by L. Claro (64' ) and Willian (54' ), for Fluminense. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Botafogo

The home team comes to this stage of the Carioca 1 (Championship ‑ Semi‑finals), after having ended the previous round in the 4th position, with 20 points won. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 12 conceded. For the league, Botafogo won 15 points out of 18 possible points, after 5 wins and 1 loss in the last 6 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 11 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

Botafogo plays at home in this first match of the Carioca Championship semifinal, against Fluminense, for having had a worse campaign in the Guanabara Cup (first phase of the competition). Botafogo was the last of the big four in Rio de Janeiro to confirm a spot in the semifinals of the Carioca Championship, and finished exactly in the 4th position of the table, so they will have to face Fluminense in this semifinal, the team that led the Guanabara Cup. What most complicated Botafogo's situation in the first phase of the Campeonato Carioca was a surprising defeat for Portuguesa on the 9th round, when the alvinegra team still had a chance to fight for the vice-leadership of the table. Furthermore, on the last round, Botafogo only drew with Audax, a financially and technically weaker team, and was only 4th in the Guanabara Cup, so they have some disadvantages in this Carioca Championship semifinal: playing against the leader, Fluminense, playing the second leg away from home and, in case of a draw in the aggregate result, Botafogo is eliminated. In addition, in reconstruction under the command of an interim coach, who should not even continue in charge of the team for the rest of the season, Botafogo will hardly be able to win and eliminate Fluminense in this semifinal.

Confirmed Lineup: Diego, Daniel Borges, Jonathan, Philipe Sampaio, Kanu, Chayene, Kayque, Barreto, Luiz Fernando, Rikelmi dos Santos, Matheus Nascimento de Paula.
Coach: R. Alves Paiva.

Analysis Fluminense

The away team comes to this stage of the Carioca 1 (Championship ‑ Semi‑finals) after having ended the previous round in the 1st position, with 28 points won. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 5 conceded. In their last match, for the CONMEBOL Libertadores, they got an away loss against Olimpia by (4‑1), after a penalty shootout. In the last 5 away league matches Fluminense has a record of 4 wins and 1 draw, so they have won 13 points out of 15 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 39 of the last 64 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals.

Fluminense, which plays this first match of the Carioca Championship semifinal away from home, has the advantage of playing the second leg game, which defines the spot in the final, at home. That's because Tricolor das Laranjeiras achieved the best performance of the first phase of the Carioca Championship, called Taça Guanabara, having achieved 9 victories, in addition to 1 draw and 1 defeat in the 11 games played. With the leadership of the Taça Guanabara, Fluminense will also have the advantage of advancing to the grand final of the Campeonato Carioca in case of a tie in the aggregate result of the first and second legs of the semifinal, in which they face the 4th place in the first phase. Despite coming from a very disappointing elimination, in the last qualifying round of the Copa Libertadores da América, having lost 2-0 to Olimpia, in Paraguay, in a confrontation with controversial arbitration decisions, after having won the game 3-1 of the first leg, at home, Fluminense is certainly motivated to advance to the Carioca Championship final. The goal of Tricolor das Laranjeiras, at least now, eliminated from Libertadores, is the title of Campeonato Carioca, mainly to end the current hegemony of Flamengo, who won the last three editions, two of them facing Fluminense in the final.

Confirmed Lineup: Marcos Felipe, Mario Pineida, Nino, Manoel, Lucas Calegari, David Braz, André Trindade da Costa Neto, Matheus Martinelli, Jhon Arias, Willian, Germán Cano.
Coach: F. Diniz Silva.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Botafogo vs Fluminense match, on 22 March 2022, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Double chance, Draw or Fluminense ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Botafogo vs Fluminense on 22 March 2022 will be played at Rio de Janeiro, Estádio Nilton Santos.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Tanzania, for the Botafogo Fluminense match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Fluminense at with 59% of the tips.

 

Carioca 1 - 2022

  • 100% 78 / 78 Games

  • Home team wins 44.87%
  • Draws 21.79%
  • Away team wins 33.33%
  • Over 1.5 62.82%
  • Over 2.5 43.59%
  • Over 3.5 23.08%
  • Goals 189
  • Goals /match 2.42
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 1.04
  • Both teams score 42.31%
  • Goals after 80' 23.28%
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