Técnico Universitario Libertad betting prediction

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Libertad logo
Universitario vs Libertad
Universitario logo
Universitario
  • 2 - 2
  • Played
Libertad logo
Libertad

Betting suggestion:

The match between Universitario and Libertad promises to be very interesting, with the Peruvian side playing at home but Libertad being a solid team that can take advantage of the away factor. Universitario have a good defensive base, but Libertad are usually strong in attack, which could lead to a match with plenty of goals. The recommended bet for this match is “over 2.5 goals”, as both teams have the potential to create a number of chances and take the game into a more attacking rhythm.
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Preview
Universitario and Libertad face at Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, in a match for the 2nd round of the Liga Pro. In 4 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 2, tied 1 and lost 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 17‑09‑2024, and ended in a (3‑0) win by Técnico Universitario. Libertad registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Universitario

The home team comes to this 2nd round after a (4‑1) loss in their league debut, against Aucas. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 home matches Universitario has won 4, tied 3 and lost 3. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Técnico Universitario began the competition with an underwhelming performance, suffering a defeat that exposed defensive weaknesses and a lack of intensity. In order to react, the team needs to correct mistakes and play a more balanced game, especially in defense. Playing at home, the team will try to impose a more aggressive pace and seek their first points of the tournament. The key to a better performance will be to increase concentration and the quality of their finishing to avoid another negative result.

Confirmed Lineup: Walter Chavez, Marcio Gómez Pereyra, Marlon Medranda Valencia, Manuel Hernández Porozo, Davis Camacho Navarrete, Vicente Emmanuel Torres Chiriboga, Elvis Patta, Jorge Ordonez, Jefferson Caicedo, Sergio González, Dixon Vera.
Coach: A. Vélez Ordoñez.

Analysis Libertad

The away team comes to this 2nd round after a (2‑0) win in their league debut, against Independiente del Valle. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Libertad has won 2, tied 3 and lost 5. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 15 away matches for all competitions there are 3 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (31'‑45') and 4 of their 11 goals between (46'‑60'); they have conceded 9 of their 25 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Libertad opened with a convincing victory over a strong opponent, showing organization and efficiency on the pitch. This good start has boosted the team's confidence, and they will be motivated to continue their good run. Playing away from home, the tendency is for the team to be more cautious, but without giving up attacking opportunities. Defensive solidity and the ability to take advantage of the opposition's spaces will be key to winning at least a draw and, if possible, three more points.

Confirmed Lineup: Eduardo David Bores Díaz, Ronny Biojo, Jose Luis Monaga Quinonez, Kevin Becerra Wila, Jimmy Bolaños Cervantes, Ivan Zambrano, Jean Montano, Carlos Arboleda, Eber Caicedo Peralta, Angel Quiñonez Guerrero, Wilter Ayoví Mina.
Coach: A. Vélez Ordoñez.

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Liga Pro - 2025

  • 42% 101 / 240 Games

  • Home team wins 42.57%
  • Draws 27.72%
  • Away team wins 29.7%
  • Over 1.5 71.29%
  • Over 2.5 44.55%
  • Over 3.5 26.73%
  • Goals 254
  • Goals /match 2.51
  • Goals /match home 1.42
  • Goals /match away 1.1
  • Both teams score 53.47%
  • Goals after 80' 17.32%
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