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Middlesbrough Derby County betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely outcome for this fixture is that Middlesbrough fail to win. While the home side will benefit from strong support from their fans, they have been inconsistent on their own turf, winning only one of their last three home matches. On the other hand, Derby will arrive in high spirits, having claimed six wins in their last seven games. As such, the visitors are expected to showcase their quality and secure at least a point.
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Preview
Middlesbrough and Derby face at Riverside Stadium, in a match for the 18th round of the Championship. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 01‑03‑2025, and ended in a (1‑0) win by Middlesbrough. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Middlesbrough presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis Middlesbrough

The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 30 points won, after 8 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Oxford United, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Coventry City, by (2‑4). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Middlesbrough has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 17 points out of 24 possible. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 2‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 17 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Middlesbrough head into this fixture demoralised after a 4–2 home defeat to Coventry. The home side usually operate in a traditional 5-3-2 formation, with Tommy Conway and Morgan Whittaker leading the line. The team’s playmaker is Irishman Alex Gilbert, responsible for dictating and orchestrating the side’s attacking moves. Due to certain defensive vulnerabilities, Middlesbrough often operate in their own half to help cover these weaknesses. Manager Neil Warnock is expected to be without Riley McGree, Matt Targett and Darragh Lenihan, all currently sidelined with injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: Sol Brynn, Matt Targett, Alfie Jones, Callum Brittain, Alex Bangura, Alan Browne, Hayden Hackney, Morgan Whittaker, Tommy Conway, Delano Burgzorg, Sontje Hansen.
Coach: K. Hellberg.

Analysis Derby

The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 26 points won, after 7 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Watford, by (2‑3). In the last match, they won in an away match against Swansea City, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Derby has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 24 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 10 of their 28 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Derby enter this fixture on the back of an away victory, defeating Swansea 2–1, with Joe Ward and Lars-Jorgen Salvesen on the scoresheet. Unlike their opponents in this round, the visitors typically line up in a traditional 5-2-3 formation, with Ben Brereton Díaz, Patrick Agyemang and Lars-Jorgen Salvesen leading the attacking line. Playing away from home, Derby are expected to adopt a more cautious, defensive approach to avoid being exposed. Manager John Eustace is likely to be without David Ozoh, Lewis Travis, Max Johnston, Owen Beck and Curtis Nelson, all currently sidelined with injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: Jacob Widell Zetterström, Callum Elder, Sondre Langås , Matt Clarke, Dion Sanderson, Bobby Clark, Ebou Adams , Joe Ward, Ben Brereton Díaz, Lars-Jørgen Salvesen , Patrick Agyemang .
Coach: J. Eustace.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Middlesbrough vs Derby match, on 29 November 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Double chance, Draw or Derby ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.

The Middlesbrough vs Derby on 29 November 2025 will be played at Middlesbrough, Riverside Stadium.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Tanzania, for the Middlesbrough Derby match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Middlesbrough at with 100% of the tips.

 

Championship - 2025/2026

  • 47% 263 / 554 Games

  • Home team wins 43.73%
  • Draws 27%
  • Away team wins 29.28%
  • Over 1.5 75.67%
  • Over 2.5 51.33%
  • Over 3.5 26.62%
  • Goals 695
  • Goals /match 2.64
  • Goals /match home 1.43
  • Goals /match away 1.21
  • Both teams score 59.7%
  • Goals after 80' 15.83%
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