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Italy Moldova betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the occurrence of several goals. Despite Italy being clear favourites, largely due to their attacking efficiency, a high-tempo encounter with chances at both ends is expected. Both the Italians and their opponents have shown a tendency to be involved in open matches with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. As such, the “Over 3.25 Goals” market appears to be a strong option for this fixture.
 
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Preview
Italy and Moldova face at MAPEI Stadium ‑ Città del Tricolore, in a match for this stage of the WC Qualification Europe (Group Stage). There is no recent record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams. The last head‑to‑head was played on 07‑10‑2020 and ended with the final score: Italy (6‑0) Moldova.

Analysis Italy

In the last match played at this stadium for the UEFA Nations League they lost by (1‑2) against Germany. Italy has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 9 of the last 11 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Italy come into this round on the back of a heavy 3–0 defeat away to Norway in their 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign. Despite the setback, Luciano Spalletti’s side are expected to stick with their usual 3-5-2 formation, with Mateo Retegui and Giacomo Raspadori leading the line. In attacking phases, the left flank is a key outlet, thanks to the constant forward runs of Destiny Udogie, who offers both pace and the ability to unbalance opposition defences. With a full squad available, the Italians will be keen to turn the page and return to winning ways in front of their home fans.

Confirmed Lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Federico Dimarco, Luca Ranieri, Alessandro Bastoni, Davide Frattesi, Sandro Tonali, Andrea Cambiaso, Samuele Ricci, Mateo Retegui, Giacomo Raspadori.
Coach: L. Spalletti.

Analysis Moldova

The away team is currently in the 5th position, no points won yet, after 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match agaisnt Norway by (0‑5). In the last round, they have lost a home match against Estonia by (2‑3). In their last match, for the Friendlies, they got an away loss against Poland by (2‑0). In the last 10 away matches Moldova has won 2, tied 3 and lost 5. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Moldova head into this round following a 2–0 defeat in a friendly against Poland. In their most recent match in the 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign, the Moldovans were beaten 3–2 by Estonia. Manager Serghei Clescenco is expected to opt for a 5-2-3 formation, with Ion Nicolaescu, Artur Ioniță and Mihail Caimacov occupying the most advanced positions. In midfield, Vadim Rață plays a key role in orchestrating the attacking moves, taking on the responsibility of dictating the tempo and creating goal-scoring opportunities. All players are available for selection.

Confirmed Lineup: Cristian Avram, Sergiu Platica, Daniel Dumbravanu, Oleg Reabciuk, Vladyslav Babohlo, Victor Mudrac, Mihail Caimacov, Artur Ioniță, Ion Nicolaescu, Stefan Bodisteanu, Virgiliu Postolachi.
Coach: L. Popescu.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Italy vs Moldova match, on 9 June 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Over 3,25 Goals ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.

The Italy vs Moldova on 9 June 2025 will be played at Reggio Emilia, MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.

 

WC Qualification Europe - 2026

  • 40% 96 / 238 Games

  • Home team wins 44.79%
  • Draws 15.63%
  • Away team wins 39.58%
  • Over 1.5 80.21%
  • Over 2.5 59.38%
  • Over 3.5 39.58%
  • Goals 314
  • Goals /match 3.27
  • Goals /match home 1.73
  • Goals /match away 1.54
  • Both teams score 37.5%
  • Goals after 80' 16.56%
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