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Werder Bremen Mainz 05 betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This clash puts in the field two teams that are in very complicated situations within the German Championship, among the last four placed. The home team has been very inaccurate at the time of finishing and also has difficulty in maintaining ball possession, while its defense stands out in tackles, but fails in the combat to more skillful players. Mainz bets a lot on set pieces, but has also been very inefficient at the end and has made a lot of individual mistakes in defense. Thus, we expect a balanced game, between two limited teams, but still with favoritism for the home team.
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Preview
Werder Bremen and Mainz 05 face at Weserstadion, in a match for the 17th round of the Bundesliga. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 21‑09‑2016, in a match for the Bundesliga, Mainz 05 won by (1‑2). The goals of the match were scored by I. Hajrović (12' ), for Werder Bremen, and by Y. Mallı (87' ) and P. De Blasis (90' ), for Mainz 05. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Mainz 05 presents significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Bremen

After 3 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 15 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Bayer Leverkusen by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (1‑2) an away match against Borussia Dortmund. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded. For the league, Werder Bremen won 7 points out of 21 possible points, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 7 home matches. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 4 of the last 16 matches for the Bundesliga, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 3 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Werder Bremen plays again at home for the Bundesliga after two straight appearances away from their supporters who should not be too dissatisfied with the team's performance as they have won three times in the last five rounds. In its last clash, the team had a good ball possession, however finalized few times and was defeated by Bayer Leverkusen, who had more volume of game. 
Looking at the numbers of the competition, we can see that one of the great responsible for the team's bad campaign has been the offensive sector, which is now the second worst. The team also fails in the exchange of passes, being one of the ones that misses the most. Playing at home, Werder Bremen has the second worst campaign, and in that condition scored only six goals in seven matches. The coach is likely to organize the team in 3-1-4-2, with Selassie in the midfield.

Confirmed Lineup: Jiří Pavlenka, Theodor Gebre Selassie, Ludwig Augustinsson, Miloš Veljković, Robert Bauer, Niklas Moisander, Maximilian Eggestein, Philipp Bargfrede, Florian Kainz, Thomas Delaney, Ishak Belfodil.
Coach: O. Werner.

Analysis Mainz 05

The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against RB Leipzig, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Borussia Dortmund, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 7 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. In the last 7 away league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 7 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 7 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Mainz has been campaigning below expectations so far in the Bundesliga and now has not won for four rounds, coming from another home defeat. At the time, the team had a poor performance, and even playing at home, finalized less than the opponent, leaving then defeated by Borussia Dortmund. As was evident in this match, one of the team's biggest problems has been the defensive system, which is now the fourth most leaked of the competition, with an average of 1.62 goals conceded per game. One of the weaknesses of the team has been the lack of quality in the exchange of passes, and consequently the low average ball possession. Away from home, Mainz owns the third worst campaign, and in that condition has one of the four worst attacks. The coach has been changing frequently the tactical scheme of the team, but should keep Gbamin as a reference in the defense.

Confirmed Lineup: Robin Zentner, Daniel Brosinski, Leon Balogun, Giulio Donati, Abdou Diallo, Gerrit Holtmann, Levin Öztunali, Fabian Frei, Pablo De Blasis, Danny Latza, Yoshinori Muto.
Coach: B. Henriksen.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Bremen vs Mainz 05 match, on 16 December 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Bremen wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Bremen vs Mainz 05 on 16 December 2017 will be played at Bremen, Weserstadion Platz 11.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Tanzania, for the Bremen Mainz 05 match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Bremen at with 88% of the tips.

 

Bundesliga - 2017/2018

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.42%
  • Draws 27.12%
  • Away team wins 27.45%
  • Over 1.5 78.76%
  • Over 2.5 51.96%
  • Over 3.5 30.72%
  • Goals 855
  • Goals /match 2.79
  • Goals /match home 1.6
  • Goals /match away 1.19
  • Both teams score 54.9%
  • Goals after 80' 15.09%
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