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De Graafschap Excelsior betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a curious duel between two of the clubs that have scored the most goals in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie. De Graafschap have the advantage of being the second best home team and having the second best attack in the championship, but they will have to overcome the second best defense in the competition, which is precisely that of Excelsior. We will bet on Over 3.0 Asian Goals as it was a winning start in 10 of the 14 games that De Graafschap played at home, although it was lost in 6 of the 14 Excelsior performances away from home. In the most recent head-to-head between the teams, on 16-08-2024, Excelsior won (3-1) at their stadium.
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Preview
De Graafschap and Excelsior face at Stadion De Vijverberg, in a match for the 29th round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 16‑08‑2024, Excelsior got a home win by (3‑1). The head‑to‑head record between these two teams couldn't be more balanced, since there were 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 head‑to‑heads. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 6th and 3rd of the league table, it’s also a match between the 2nd best team in home matches and the 5th best in away matches.

Analysis De Graafschap

After 13 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in the 6th position, havinf won 46 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Jong PSV by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have won (5‑1) at home, against Jong AZ. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 31 points, against only 15 points in away matches. For the league, De Graafschap won 24 points out of 30 possible points, after 8 wins and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 11 of the last 14 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 28 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

De Graafschap stands out for being the second best home team in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie (73% success rate after winning 31 points in 14 matches at their stadium). The team has the second best attack in the championship (56 goals scored in 28 rounds, that is, an exact rate of 2 goals scored per game) and at home they manage to have an incredibly better offensive performance (38 goals scored in total and an average of 2.7 goals scored per game as home team). De Graafschap is the third highest scorer (rate of 15.7 shots per game) and especially the team that shoots the most on goal (average of 5.9 shots on goal per game). Coach Marinus Dijkhuizen may repeat the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme, as his only absence remains midfielder Stan Wevers, who suffered a knee injury on 23-08-2024. The star of De Graafschap's squad is Moroccan left winger Ibrahim El Kadiri (who has scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists in 25 appearances).

Confirmed Lineup: Ties Wieggers, Rio Hillen, Jeffrey Fortes, Kaya Symons, Maas Willemsen, Lion Kaak, Tristan van Gilst, Reuven Niemeijer, Philip Brittijn, Jesse van de Haar, Arjen Van Der Heide.
Coach: R. Robbemond.

Analysis Excelsior

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 49 points won, after 14 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Telstar, by (1‑3). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Roda JC Kerkrade, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 20 points in away matches and 29 points at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 13 goals conceded at home, against 23 goals scored and 17 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Excelsior has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Excelsior has a mathematical chance of returning to second place in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, a position it last occupied in the 25th round, despite being unbeaten in 3 games (after 1 duel won and 2 draws). The club stands out for having the second best defense in the league (30 goals conceded in 28 matches, that is, an average of just over 1 goal conceded per match) and it practically manages to maintain its good defensive performance when playing specifically away from home (17 goals conceded in 14 matches, that is, an index of 1.2 goals conceded per match as a visitor). Excelsior is the second highest scorer in the championship (average of 16.2 shots per match). Coach Ruben den Uil may repeat the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme, as his only absences continue to be midfielders Lennard Hartjes, who suffered a knee injury on 10-01-2025, and Xander Blomme, injured since the 3rd round that was held on 25-08-2024. The highlight of the Excelsior squad is Calvin Raatsie, the second goalkeeper with the fewest goals conceded in the championship (26 goals conceded in 26 games played) and also the third placed in the clean sheets ranking (he kept 10 clean sheets).

Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Kik Pierie, Ilias Bronkhorst, Arthur Zagre, Casper Widell, Lance Duijvestijn, M. Tielemans, Joshua Eijgenraam, Seydou Fini, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Richie Omorowa.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the De Graafschap vs Excelsior match, on 7 March 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Over 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The De Graafschap vs Excelsior on 7 March 2025 will be played at Doetinchem, Stadion De Vijverberg.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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