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Excelsior Emmen betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a crucial match for both clubs as Excelsior aims to extend their lead as second-placed in pursuit of direct promotion, while Emmen seeks to recover and keep their playoff hopes alive. Interestingly, this will be a clash between the second-best home team and the third-best away team in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025. Although Excelsior is the league's top shooter, the team that fires the most shots on target and boasts the second-best attack in the competition, both teams are also known for their strong defences. Considering this, we will bet on Under 3.0 Asian Goals, a bet that has only failed in 7 of Excelsior's 17 home matches and in just 4 of Emmen's 17 away games.
 
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Preview
Excelsior and Emmen meet at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in a match for the 36th round of the Eerste Divisie. These teams have tied (1‑1) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 08‑12‑2024. The head‑to‑head record between these two teams couldn't be more balanced, since there were 1 draw and 2 wins for each team in the last 5 head‑to‑heads. Emmen registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Excelsior

After 20 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 65 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against FC Volendam by (1‑4), after in the previous match they have won (2‑0) at home, against TOP Oss. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 12 conceded. For the league, Excelsior won 21 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 35 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3.

Excelsior are not at risk of losing second place this round, but a win is crucial to move closer to securing the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 runners-up spot—and with it, the second and final automatic promotion place to the Eredivisie next season. The team come into this fixture on the back of six straight victories and are unbeaten in their last five home matches (with two draws followed by three consecutive wins). In fact, Excelsior boast the second-best home record in the league, with a 76% success rate, having collected 39 points from 17 outings. They also feature the league’s second-best attacking record, with 66 goals scored—an average of 1.8 per match. Defensively, they are the strongest side, having conceded just 36 goals across 35 games, and even more impressive at home, where they've let in only 14 goals (0.8 goals conceded per home fixture). Overall, Excelsior have kept 12 clean sheets—the third-highest tally in the division. They also rank third for average possession (55.3%) and lead the league in total shots (an average of 17 per match), as well as shots on target (5.7 per match). Manager Ruben den Uil is likely to name an unchanged starting eleven in the familiar 4-2-3-1 formation. Key players include goalkeeper Calvin Raatsie, the third-best in the league in terms of goals conceded per match (0.96, with 31 goals in 32 appearances), and attacking midfielder Lance Duijvestijn, who ranks third in the league for average shots per game (3.7). Midfielder Lennard Hartjes remains sidelined with a knee injury sustained on 10 January 2025.

Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Django Warmerdam, Casper Widell, Ilias Bronkhorst, Arthur Zagre, M. Tielemans, Xander Blomme, Lance Duijvestijn, Jacky Donkor, Jerolldino Armantrading, Derensili Sanches Fernandes.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.

Analysis Emmen

The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 53 points won, after 16 wins, 5 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Roda JC Kerkrade, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Jong AZ, by (1‑4). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Emmen has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 35 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 4.

Emmen still have a chance to qualify for the promotion playoffs, but they need to bounce back from two consecutive defeats. The team has won four of their last six matches in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025, including four victories in their last six away games (with two losses during this period). Emmen are the third-best away team in the league, with a 60% success rate, having accumulated 31 points from 17 away matches. They also boast the third-best defence among away teams, having conceded just 20 goals, averaging 1.1 goals conceded per match on the road. The team is known for its strong pressing game, which has made them the second-most foul-prone side in the competition, averaging 14.4 fouls per match. Manager Alfons Arts is likely to repeat the same starting lineup, using the 4-2-3-1 tactical formation. The only absentee remains German midfielder Julius Kade, who suffered a knee injury on 11 March 2025. One of the standout performers for Emmen is left-winger Kelian Nsona, who has scored 12 goals and provided 5 assists in 35 appearances.

Confirmed Lineup: Luca Unbehaun, Robin Schouten, Faris Hammouti, Mike te Wierik, Pascal Mulder, Michael Martin, Fridolin Wagner, Torben Rhein, Alaa Bakir, Kelian Nsona Wa Saka, Jalen Hawkins.
Coach: A. Arts.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Excelsior vs Emmen match, on 27 April 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Handicap, Under 3 goals ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.

The Excelsior vs Emmen on 27 April 2025 will be played at Rotterdam, Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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