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Excelsior PSV II betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This match holds significance only for Excelsior, who will secure the runners-up spot in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie and the final promotion place to next season’s Eredivisie with a win, without needing to rely on other results in the round. Excelsior stand out with the best home record, the second-best attack, and most notably, the best defence in the league. Jong PSV, on the other hand, have the worst defence in the division and have only kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 36 matches. Even so, they usually control the tempo of games, holding the second-highest average possession in the competition. Given this context, we will back the “Under 4.5 Goals” market, as it has been a winning bet in 15 of Excelsior’s 18 home appearances and also in 15 of Jong PSV’s 18 away fixtures.
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Preview
Excelsior and PSV II meet at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in a match for the 37th round of the Eerste Divisie. Excelsior got an away win by (1‑3), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 21‑10‑2024. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 3 matches they won 2 and lost 1. PSV II registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Excelsior

The home team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 71 points won, after 21 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against FC Volendam, by (1‑4). In the last match, they won in a home match against FC Emmen, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 10 conceded. For the league, Excelsior won 21 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 36 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3.

Excelsior could secure direct promotion to the 2025/2026 Eredivisie with a win, without depending on results elsewhere. In the event of a draw, the club will only go up this round if ADO fail to beat Cambuur. Excelsior come into this match on the back of seven consecutive wins in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie and boast the best home record in the league (77% success rate, having picked up 42 points from 18 matches). Specifically at home, they have won their last four games and are unbeaten in their previous six (two draws preceded the winning streak). The team have the second-best attacking record in the league (68 goals scored overall, averaging 1.88 goals per match), but their main strength lies in being the side with the fewest goals conceded (36 in total, averaging exactly one goal against per game). Their defensive performance is even better at home (14 goals conceded, averaging 0.77 per match as hosts). Excelsior are the most frequent shooters in the division (16.9 shots per match) and also rank third for shots on target (5.6 per game). Furthermore, they hold the third-highest number of clean sheets (13 matches without conceding). Head coach Ruben den Uil may be able to name an unchanged starting eleven from the previous match, using a 4-2-3-1 system, depending on the fitness of right-back Ilian Bronkhorst and holding midfielder Mathijs Tielemans, who both picked up injuries in the last outing. Should they be ruled out, Nolan Martens and Joshua Eijgenraam are likely to step in as replacements. Midfielder Lennard Hartjes remains sidelined with a knee injury sustained on 10-01-2025. The standout performers in the Excelsior squad are Calvin Raatsie, the goalkeeper with the lowest goals-conceded average (0.93 per match, having let in 31 goals in 33 games), and forward Lance Duijvestijn, the second-most frequent shooter in the division (3.5 shots per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Django Warmerdam, Casper Widell, Ilias Bronkhorst, Arthur Zagre, Cedric Hatenboer, Lance Duijvestijn, M. Tielemans, Jerolldino Armantrading, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Jacky Donkor.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.

Analysis PSV II

The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 27 points won, after 7 wins, 6 draws and 23 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against ADO Den Haag, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against FC Eindhoven, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded; against 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 39 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches PSV II has a record of 3 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 11 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 36 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 20 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Jong PSV is a reserve team that competes in the Eerste Divisie solely to provide experience to young players being prepared for PSV Eindhoven's senior squad, a club that consistently features in elite competitions. The team has the worst defensive record in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, having conceded 80 goals in 36 rounds, an average of 2.2 goals per match, despite holding the second-highest possession rate in the league (55.7%). Unsurprisingly, Jong PSV also has the fewest clean sheets in the competition, having kept just three shutouts. Away from home, they are winless in 11 matches (3 draws and 8 defeats during this run). Head coach Alfons Groenendijk is expected to field the same starting eleven as in the previous match, using a 4-4-2 formation, as his only absentee remains left-back Wessel Kuhn, who is still recovering from a knee injury suffered on 07-03-2025. The standout player in the Jong PSV squad is Israeli right winger Tay Abed Kassus, the third-highest ranked player for shots on target in the league (1.3 shots on target per match), and he is expected to return to the starting line-up, likely replacing Esmir Bajraktarevic, who started the previous game. Goalkeeper Niek Schiks is the third-most beaten keeper in the competition (averaging 1.9 goals conceded per match, having let in 44 goals in 23 appearances), despite being the second-most active shot-stopper (averaging 4.7 saves per match).

Confirmed Lineup: N. Schiks, Emmanuel van de Blaak, Samuel Gomez van Hoogen, Eus Waayers, Muhlis Dağaşan, Emir Bars, Jordy Bawuah, Tim van den Heuvel, Jesper Uneken, Marcus Younis, Tai Abed.
Coach: A. Groenendijk.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Excelsior vs PSV II match, on 2 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Under 4,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Excelsior vs PSV II on 2 May 2025 will be played at Rotterdam, Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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