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Helmond Sport Willem II betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a clash between two sides coming off consecutive defeats, both in need of a response. There is a significant psychological factor at play: Willem II have won the last five head-to-head encounters and have gone 11 matches without defeat against Helmond, recording eight wins and three draws. The last time Helmond beat Willem II was in 1986. We are backing over 2.5 goals in the match, as this market has been successful in eight of Helmond’s last ten home games and seven of Willem II’s last ten away fixtures.
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Preview
Helmond and Willem II face at SolarUnie Stadion, in a match for the 21th round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 30‑09‑2025, Willem II got a home win by (1‑0). In 5 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 5. Helmond registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Helmond

The home team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against MVV Maastricht, by (2‑4). In the last match, they lost in an away match against FC Emmen, by (4‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. For the league, Helmond won 18 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (6 out of 10 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 20 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

Helmond have failed to win in their last three rounds (one draw and two recent defeats) and have claimed just one victory in their last six meetings (alongside one draw and four losses during that period). Specifically at home, they have only won one of their last five matches (losing the other four). Curiously, however, Helmond rank third among home sides in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie (18 points from 10 games) despite having the third-worst home defence (conceding 17 goals). Overall, they are the second-lowest team for shots on target, averaging just 3.9 per game. Coach Jürgen Seegers will need to adjust the previous starting lineup, which is based on a 4-4-2 system, as midfielder Noah Makanza from the Democratic Republic of Congo must serve an automatic suspension after receiving his fifth yellow card. Spanish midfielder Pol Llonch has also missed the last four games due to injury. Belgian forward Lennerd Daneels is doubtful after leaving the last match injured; if he is ruled out, Swiss player Labinot Bajrami is expected to step in again as his replacement.

Confirmed Lineup: Menno Bergsen, Flor Van den Eynden, Amine Et-Taïbi, Thomas Poll, Dennis Vos, Helgi Fródi Ingason, Alen Dizdarevic, Dayen Geerts, Tarik Essakkati, André Leipold, Maik Lukowicz.
Coach: R. Maaskant.

Analysis Willem II

The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 29 points won, after 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against FC Dordrecht, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against SC Cambuur, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 22 conceded. In their last match, for the KNVB Beker, they got a home loss against Sparta Rotterdam by (1‑5). Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (2‑1) against FC Den Bosch. In the last 10 away league matches Willem II has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Willem II have lost three of their last four matches, both overall and specifically on the road. On 18-12-2025, the club suffered a heavy home defeat, going out 5-1 to Sparta Rotterdam in the 2025-2026 KNVB Beker. The team possess the second-worst attack in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie, having scored just 25 goals in 20 rounds. Defensively, however, they boast the third-best record in the league, conceding 28 goals. Coach John Stegeman could repeat the lineup from the previous round, based on a 4-4-2 formation, if centre-back Finn Stam is cleared by the medical staff after sustaining an injury in the cup fixture. If ruled out, Per van Loon is likely to step in again. Fellow centre-back Amine Lachkar and midfielder Jari Schuurman are already sidelined through injury. The standout player in the Willem II squad is right-sided attacking midfielder Nick Doodeman, the league leader in assists (12 in 20 appearances, along with one goal), although he has not contributed directly to a goal in the last four matches he played.

Confirmed Lineup: Thomas Didillon-Hödl, Nathan Tjoe-A-On, Alessandro Ciranni, Finn Stam, Raffael Behounek, Mounir El Allouchi, Uriël van Aalst, Gijs Besselink, Armin Culum, Devin Haen, Nick Doodeman.
Coach: P. Maes.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Helmond vs Willem II match, on 21 December 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Helmond vs Willem II on 21 December 2025 will be played at Helmond, SolarUnie Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2025/2026

  • 52% 207 / 396 Games

  • Home team wins 43.96%
  • Draws 19.81%
  • Away team wins 36.23%
  • Over 1.5 81.64%
  • Over 2.5 64.25%
  • Over 3.5 46.38%
  • Goals 684
  • Goals /match 3.3
  • Goals /match home 1.82
  • Goals /match away 1.49
  • Both teams score 61.84%
  • Goals after 80' 19.3%
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