Peñarol Progreso betting prediction

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Progreso logo
Peñarol vs Progreso
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Peñarol
  • 2 - 1
  • Played
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Progreso

Betting suggestion:

Peñarol and Progreso face off in a match where home advantage and tradition weigh in Peñarol's favor. Playing at home, the team is fully capable of imposing its pace and seeking victory from the off, taking advantage of Progreso's defensive frailty. Therefore, betting on Peñarol to win in the first half is a choice that has a good chance of happening in this Apertura opener.

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Preview
Peñarol and Progreso face at Estadio Campeón del Siglo, in a match for the 1st round of the Primera División. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins in the last 3 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 24‑05‑2024, in a match for the Primera División, Peñarol won by (3‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Léo Coelho (59' and 70' ) and L. Hernández (90' ), for Peñarol, and by M. Gianoli (44' Autogolo), for Progreso. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Progreso presents significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Peñarol

The home team comes to this round of the Primera División (Clausura) after having ended the last qualifying stage (Intermediate Round) in the 1st position, with 16 points won. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Peñarol has a record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 19 points out of 30 possible.

They have won the last 6 home matches for this competition. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 10 of the last 10 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 22 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 2.

Peñarol have come on strong to challenge for the title with the start of the Apertura season and know that they must maintain their high standard of play on the pitch. The priority is to continue competing among the best on the Uruguayan scene, so once again expect a fierce attitude throughout the 90 minutes, especially given that they'll be playing at home in their opening game. With excellent home record, they have only themselves to rely on to overcome Progreso.


Confirmed Lineup: Martín Campaña, Maximiliano Olivera, Nahuel Herrera, Damián Suárez, Emanuel Gularte, Leonardo Fernández, David Terans, Ignacio Sosa, Jesús Trindade, Maximiliano Silvera, Javier Cabrera.
Coach: J. Larriera Dibarboure.

Analysis Progreso

The away team comes to this round of the Primera División (Clausura) after having ended the last qualifying stage (Intermediate Round) in the 6th position, with 6 points won. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Progreso has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 losses in the last away matches. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches) and 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Progreso, meanwhile, remain close to the bottom of the Apertura table at the start of the season. The team has not been able to overcome some adversity and will need to correct some mistakes if they are to reach the Clausura with a better chance of competing for something big. In their opener, they will face a hostile environment away to the mighty Peñarol, in a game in which the home side will be favored.


Confirmed Lineup: N. Gentilio, Facundo Kidd, A. Cougo, N. Olivera, G. Trasante, A. Colombino, Ignacio Lemmo, A. Pinheiro, F. López, N. Fernández.
Coach: C. Canobbio Bentaberry.

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Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Peñarol Progreso match?

The tip and bet suggestion for the Peñarol vs Progreso match, on 2 August 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Peñarol wins at half time ⇒ bet available on betfair.

👉 In which stadium will the Peñarol Progreso be played?

The Peñarol vs Progreso on 2 August 2025 will be played at Montevideo, Estadio Campeón del Siglo.

 

Primera División - 2025

  • 100% 300 / 300 Games

  • Home team wins 36.67%
  • Draws 34.33%
  • Away team wins 29%
  • Over 1.5 66.67%
  • Over 2.5 42.67%
  • Over 3.5 21.33%
  • Goals 696
  • Goals /match 2.32
  • Goals /match home 1.27
  • Goals /match away 1.05
  • Both teams score 48.33%
  • Goals after 80' 19.4%
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